NOAA ups forecast for 2017 hurricanes

NOAA ups forecast for 2017 hurricanes

Researchers released a new report (link) on the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes through November 30. 30 and produces 12 named storms, of which six become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes, according to the NOAA. Forecasters are also predicting 2-5 major hurricanes, increased from the May prediction of 2-4. The number of hurricanes forecast is unchanged and still sits are between 5 and 9.

While the climate center's hurricane forecasters make long-range calls on expected seasonal activity, they do not predict if or where storms might make landfall, Bell said, as that's dependent on shorter-term weather conditions.

In addition, NOAA said wind and air patterns as well as warmer sea surface temperatures this season favor storm development.

Tropical Storm Franklin moved into the Gulf of Mexico after passing over the Yucatan Peninsula, with Mexico bracing for the storm to reach hurricane status.

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"Today's updated outlook underscores the need for everyone to know their true vulnerabilities to storms and storm surge", FEMA Administrator Brock Long said. The saying that applies here is that it only takes one storm to have a bad season.

The Atlantic hurricane season will probably end with an above-average 14 to 19 named storms that can rattle energy and agriculture markets now that it is nearly certain a system-deterring Pacific El Nino won't arrive. There have already been 6 named storms this season, which is double the amount that would normally form by this time. Two of those made landfall in the United States as tropical storms: Cindy on June 22 in Louisiana and Texas, and Emily on July 31 in Florida.

Models forecast the storm to strengthen to category 1 strength before making landfall later Thursday. Wednesday's update put the odds at 60 percent.

While NOAA has bumped up the chances of an average hurricane season, it doesn't tell the entire story.

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